Yesterday we spoke about existing market data and how we believe that the market will continue going down. So, we would like to talk about what occurs when there is a sharp growth in active inventory and a sharp decrease in sold houses.
Having been in the short sale business for three years, we have seen modest rises with tax credit extensions and additional programs. What we have watched is when inventory goes up and sales go down, lenders do not respond to that data swiftly. Normally, they draw their information for BPO’s and appraisals from as much as 6 months ago. The trouble with this method is that the BPO is deeply weighted on sold costs. So when you pull sales from contracts that were authored in January, February and March, the tax credits impacted the market. Those comps are not taking into account that sales are going down and amount of active listings are going up. When you see this transpire, you will have to begin pricing your houses more aggresively. The market is tumbling once more but the lender is extremely slow to react to that data. They don’t want to be the first to act on the lower price. You can be expecting that they will counteroffer with other prices of houses sold months ago when the marketplace was not the same.
For example, we had a listing with an offer price of $245,000. We believed it was a stout offer because the market was going down. We received a counteroffer with the BPO figure at $265,000. We were given a day to rebuild the offer or the folder would be closed.
Kevin disagreed and had to demonstrate to the negotiator that the BPO price was sour. He discovered a comp that was the matching floor plan listed at $235,000. This was sent to the negotiator and along with a note that explained the situation. The alternative to the lender counter offer was to foreclose on the property and relist it in ninety days at a lesser price than the offer.
Be informed that there will be BPO disputes in your future. With listings rising and sold houses decreasing, you will have added disputes on your hands to prevail over.
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